Flagstar Financial Valuation

Is FLG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FLG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FLG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FLG's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FLG?

Key metric: As FLG is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for FLG. This is calculated by dividing FLG's market cap by their current book value.
What is FLG's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.5x
BookUS$8.07b
Market CapUS$3.76b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does FLG's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for FLG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
AX Axos Financial
1.7x-6.5%US$4.1b
IBOC International Bancshares
1.5xn/aUS$4.0b
FIBK First Interstate BancSystem
1x8.9%US$3.4b
BANF BancFirst
2.5x0.4%US$3.9b
FLG Flagstar Financial
0.5x111.1%US$3.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: FLG is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does FLG's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.002xn/aUS$27.98m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.0003xn/aUS$2.18m
BKES.F Banco Espírito Santo
n/an/aUS$56.01k
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
n/an/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PB range
FLG 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies138PB00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: FLG is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Banks industry average (1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FLG's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FLG PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FLG's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FLG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.05
US$12.23
+35.2%
7.4%US$14.00US$10.50n/a15
Dec ’25US$11.97
US$12.18
+1.7%
7.2%US$14.00US$10.50n/a14
Nov ’25US$10.39
US$12.11
+16.5%
7.0%US$14.00US$10.50n/a14
Oct ’25US$10.78
US$12.21
+13.3%
8.7%US$14.00US$10.50n/a14
Sep ’25US$10.84
US$11.79
+8.7%
9.1%US$14.00US$10.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$9.86
US$12.25
+24.2%
15.3%US$18.00US$10.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$9.72
US$14.25
+46.6%
55.6%US$42.00US$10.50n/a14
Jun ’25US$9.87
US$14.70
+48.9%
52.2%US$42.00US$10.50n/a15
May ’25US$10.20
US$14.81
+45.2%
50.3%US$42.00US$10.50n/a16
Apr ’25US$9.63
US$15.26
+58.5%
47.0%US$42.00US$9.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$10.65
US$19.81
+86.0%
36.6%US$42.00US$10.50n/a17
Feb ’25US$17.25
US$28.45
+64.9%
25.8%US$45.00US$18.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$30.69
US$37.46
+22.0%
15.2%US$48.00US$24.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$29.76
US$38.51
+29.4%
14.0%US$48.00US$24.00US$11.9717
Nov ’24US$28.47
US$39.22
+37.8%
10.3%US$48.00US$33.00US$10.3917
Oct ’24US$34.02
US$44.38
+30.5%
10.0%US$51.00US$36.00US$10.7817
Sep ’24US$36.96
US$46.03
+24.5%
8.3%US$51.00US$36.00US$10.8416
Aug ’24US$40.83
US$45.84
+12.3%
7.9%US$51.00US$36.00US$9.8616
Jul ’24US$33.72
US$36.52
+8.3%
8.4%US$42.00US$30.00US$9.7216
Jun ’24US$31.68
US$35.60
+12.4%
7.4%US$39.00US$30.00US$9.8717
May ’24US$32.13
US$34.54
+7.5%
10.4%US$39.00US$27.00US$10.2017
Apr ’24US$27.12
US$32.77
+20.8%
9.4%US$39.00US$24.00US$9.6316
Mar ’24US$26.37
US$32.10
+21.7%
8.3%US$36.00US$28.50US$10.6515
Feb ’24US$30.45
US$31.93
+4.9%
9.3%US$36.00US$27.00US$17.2514
Jan ’24US$25.80
US$30.40
+17.8%
11.0%US$37.50US$25.50US$30.6915
Dec ’23US$27.57
US$31.38
+13.8%
14.6%US$42.00US$25.50US$29.7613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Flagstar Financial, Inc. is covered by 44 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jared ShawBarclays
Bruce HartingBarclays
Peter WinterBMO Capital Markets Equity Research