Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TCBX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$465.2m

Third Coast Bancshares Valuation

Is TCBX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCBX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCBX ($33.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($39.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCBX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCBX?

Key metric: As TCBX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCBX. This is calculated by dividing TCBX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCBX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.8x
EarningsUS$38.88m
Market CapUS$465.23m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCBX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCBX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.9x
SHBI Shore Bancshares
12.8x15.0%US$530.2m
RCBC River City Bank
7.5xn/aUS$453.9m
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings
14.5x9.9%US$617.8m
SCZC West Coast Community Bancorp
12.7xn/aUS$440.3m
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares
11.8x11.5%US$465.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCBX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TCBX 11.8xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies84PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCBX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCBX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ratio13.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TCBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCBX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.47
US$36.75
+9.8%
12.1%US$42.00US$31.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$35.50
US$34.50
-2.8%
8.3%US$39.00US$31.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$32.53
US$34.50
+6.1%
8.3%US$39.00US$31.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$25.80
US$29.00
+12.4%
8.8%US$33.00US$26.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$25.61
US$28.75
+12.3%
9.0%US$33.00US$26.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$22.46
US$28.75
+28.0%
9.0%US$33.00US$26.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$21.06
US$24.75
+17.5%
7.8%US$27.00US$22.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$21.09
US$24.75
+17.4%
7.8%US$27.00US$22.00n/a4
May ’25US$20.09
US$24.75
+23.2%
7.8%US$27.00US$22.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$19.21
US$23.40
+21.8%
9.2%US$26.00US$20.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$19.11
US$23.40
+22.4%
9.2%US$26.00US$20.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$19.50
US$23.40
+20.0%
9.2%US$26.00US$20.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$19.87
US$20.50
+3.2%
10.6%US$24.00US$18.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$17.77
US$19.50
+9.7%
4.4%US$20.00US$18.00US$35.504
Nov ’24US$15.76
US$19.50
+23.7%
4.4%US$20.00US$18.00US$32.534
Oct ’24US$17.10
US$23.25
+36.0%
3.6%US$24.00US$22.00US$25.804
Sep ’24US$19.15
US$23.50
+22.7%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00US$25.614
Aug ’24US$20.17
US$23.50
+16.5%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00US$22.464
Jul ’24US$15.87
US$20.67
+30.2%
4.6%US$22.00US$20.00US$21.063
Jun ’24US$16.32
US$21.00
+28.7%
3.9%US$22.00US$20.00US$21.093
May ’24US$13.95
US$21.00
+50.5%
3.9%US$22.00US$20.00US$20.093
Apr ’24US$15.71
US$22.00
+40.0%
3.7%US$23.00US$21.00US$19.213
Mar ’24US$18.06
US$22.67
+25.5%
2.1%US$23.00US$22.00US$19.113
Feb ’24US$18.99
US$22.67
+19.4%
2.1%US$23.00US$22.00US$19.503
Jan ’24US$18.43
US$23.00
+24.8%
6.1%US$25.00US$22.00US$19.873
Dec ’23US$19.56
US$23.33
+19.3%
8.1%US$26.00US$22.00US$17.773

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 01:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mengxian JiaoDeutsche Bank
Brady GaileyKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Wood LayKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods