TriCo Bancshares Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

TriCo Bancshares is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 3.2% and 5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.

Key information

3.2%

Earnings growth rate

3.2%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	5.0%
Future return on equity	8.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

TriCo Bancshares' (NASDAQ:TCBK) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Sep 02

TriCo Bancshares raises dividend by 20% to $0.30

Aug 29

TriCo Bancshares Q2 GAAP EPS misses, revenue beats

Jul 27

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Presents An Opportunity

Jul 15

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.25

Jun 09

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Has Announced A Dividend Of US$0.25

May 26

TriCo Bancshares: Serial Acquirer In California Market

Feb 05

TriCo Bancshares declares $0.25 dividend

May 28

Why We Think TriCo Bancshares' (NASDAQ:TCBK) CEO Compensation Is Not Excessive At All

May 22

Is TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) A Smart Pick For Income Investors?

May 07

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:TCBK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	436	121	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	409	110	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2024	395	112	N/A	N/A	5
9/30/2024	387	112	118	122	N/A
6/30/2024	388	113	136	140	N/A
3/31/2024	385	109	120	125	N/A
12/31/2023	394	117	134	139	N/A
9/30/2023	408	128	153	157	N/A
6/30/2023	414	134	142	147	N/A
3/31/2023	418	141	163	167	N/A
12/31/2022	391	125	159	163	N/A
9/30/2022	366	117	136	140	N/A
6/30/2022	345	107	141	146	N/A
3/31/2022	329	104	122	126	N/A
12/31/2021	342	118	129	132	N/A
9/30/2021	335	113	134	136	N/A
6/30/2021	321	103	108	110	N/A
3/31/2021	291	82	120	122	N/A
12/31/2020	270	65	112	115	N/A
9/30/2020	270	64	102	105	N/A
6/30/2020	279	70	130	133	N/A
3/31/2020	301	85	111	114	N/A
12/31/2019	311	92	99	103	N/A
9/30/2019	309	92	103	107	N/A
6/30/2019	299	85	86	92	N/A
3/31/2019	281	77	83	89	N/A
12/31/2018	262	68	84	91	N/A
9/30/2018	242	48	59	69	N/A
6/30/2018	228	44	N/A	61	N/A
3/31/2018	227	42	N/A	60	N/A
12/31/2017	224	41	N/A	55	N/A
9/30/2017	226	50	N/A	55	N/A
6/30/2017	227	50	N/A	52	N/A
3/31/2017	222	46	N/A	64	N/A
12/31/2016	219	45	N/A	48	N/A
9/30/2016	215	44	N/A	49	N/A
6/30/2016	210	44	N/A	53	N/A
3/31/2016	208	46	N/A	46	N/A
12/31/2015	203	44	N/A	55	N/A
9/30/2015	196	38	N/A	50	N/A
6/30/2015	183	34	N/A	42	N/A
3/31/2015	166	27	N/A	28	N/A
12/31/2014	155	26	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2014	142	26	N/A	29	N/A
6/30/2014	139	25	N/A	35	N/A
3/31/2014	139	26	N/A	41	N/A
12/31/2013	139	27	N/A	41	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TCBK's forecast earnings growth (3.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TCBK's earnings (3.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TCBK's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TCBK's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TCBK's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TCBK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 00:29
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TriCo Bancshares is covered by 13 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jeffrey Rulis	D.A. Davidson & Co.
null null	D.A. Davidson & Co.
Stephen Moss	FBR Capital Markets & Co.

TriCo Bancshares Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 11% to US$46.17

Price target increased by 12% to US$43.67

Price target decreased by 8.8% to US$48.33

Price target decreased by 8.4% to US$54.33

Price target increased to US$58.67

Price target increased to US$52.17

Recent updates

Lead Independent Director recently sold US$252k worth of stock

Lead Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Third quarter dividend of US$0.33 announced

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 20, 2024

TriCo Bancshares Reports Loans Charged-Off for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2024

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Independent Director exercised options to buy US$305k worth of stock.

Independent Director exercised options to buy US$316k worth of stock.

Second quarter dividend of US$0.33 announced

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on September 20, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Price target increased by 11% to US$46.17

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.33

First quarter dividend of US$0.33 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Chairman exercised options and sold US$178k worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Fourth quarter dividend increased to US$0.33

TriCo Bancshares Announces Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 22, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Price target increased by 12% to US$43.67

Upcoming dividend of US$0.30 per share at 3.4% yield

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.30

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 22, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Does TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

TriCo Bancshares Declares A Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on September 22, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Chairman exercised options and sold US$341k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Key Executive recently bought US$165k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.30 per share at 3.7% yield

TriCo Bancshares, Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Trico Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 23, 2023

Here's Why TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Price target decreased by 8.8% to US$48.33

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 8.4% to US$54.33

Independent Director exercised options to buy US$172k worth of stock.

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Chairman exercised options and sold US$220k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.30 per share

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 23, 2022

High number of new directors

Price target increased to US$58.67

TriCo Bancshares Reports Charge-Off for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Independent Director recently bought US$124k worth of stock

TriCo Bancshares' (NASDAQ:TCBK) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TriCo Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on Its Common Stock, Payable on September 23, 2022

TriCo Bancshares raises dividend by 20% to $0.30

Chairman exercised options and sold US$925k worth of stock

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

TriCo Bancshares Reports Net Charge-Offs for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2022

TriCo Bancshares Q2 GAAP EPS misses, revenue beats

TriCo Bancshares Announces the Demise of Donald J. Amaral, Director

Chairman exercised options and sold US$232k worth of stock

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Presents An Opportunity

Price target increased to US$52.17

Chairman exercised options and sold US$51k worth of stock

Chairman exercised options and sold US$91k worth of stock

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.25

Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share

Independent Director exercised options to buy US$65k worth of stock.

TriCo Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBK) Has Announced A Dividend Of US$0.25