Stock Analysis
The board of Simmons First National Corporation (NASDAQ:SFNC) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.21 per share on the 1st of October. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Simmons First National
Simmons First National's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Simmons First National has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 68%, which means that Simmons First National would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 15.9%. If the dividend continues on this path, the future payout ratio could be 64% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Simmons First National Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.42 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.84. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.2% over that duration. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Simmons First National's earnings per share has shrunk at 12% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Our Thoughts On Simmons First National's Dividend
In summary, we are pleased with the dividend remaining consistent, and we think there is a good chance of this continuing in the future. With shrinking earnings, the company may see some issues maintaining the dividend even though they look pretty sustainable for now. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Simmons First National that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:SFNC
Simmons First National
Operates as the holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other financial products and services to individuals and businesses.