National Bankshares, Inc.

NasdaqCM:NKSH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$186.9m

National Bankshares Valuation

Is NKSH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NKSH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$85.95
Fair Value
65.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NKSH ($29.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($85.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NKSH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NKSH?

Key metric: As NKSH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NKSH. This is calculated by dividing NKSH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NKSH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.5x
EarningsUS$7.62m
Market CapUS$186.87m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NKSH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NKSH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp
16.8x8.6%US$195.9m
BCBP BCB Bancorp
11x24.6%US$184.6m
MFGI Merchants Financial Group
10.5xn/aUS$206.9m
MYFW First Western Financial
81.4x62.8%US$204.0m
NKSH National Bankshares
24.5x37.0%US$186.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NKSH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (29.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NKSH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NKSH 24.5xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies89PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NKSH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NKSH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NKSH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NKSH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
US$38.00
Fair Value
22.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 13:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

National Bankshares, Inc. is covered by 4 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Cary MorrisBB&T Capital Markets
Allan BachDavenport & Company
Christopher MarinacJanney Montgomery Scott LLC