Stock Analysis

Camden National Corporation Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Published
NasdaqGS:CAC

Camden National Corporation (NASDAQ:CAC) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. Camden National beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$45m, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 11%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Camden National

NasdaqGS:CAC Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Camden National from four analysts is for revenues of US$222.8m in 2025. If met, it would imply a substantial 32% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$3.22, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$223.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.31 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$44.00, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Camden National, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$46.00 and the most bearish at US$43.00 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Camden National is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. For example, we noticed that Camden National's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 25% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 0.3% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 6.5% annually. So it looks like Camden National is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$44.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Camden National analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Camden National is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:CAC

Camden National

Operates as the bank holding company for Camden National Bank that provides various commercial and consumer banking products and services for consumer, institutional, municipal, non-profit, and commercial customers in Maine, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts.