BayCom Corp

NasdaqGS:BCML Stock Report

Market Cap: US$296.0m

BayCom Valuation

Is BCML undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCML when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BCML ($26.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($46.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCML is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCML?

Key metric: As BCML is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCML. This is calculated by dividing BCML's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCML's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsUS$23.89m
Market CapUS$296.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCML's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCML vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
HLAN Heartland BancCorp
15.5xn/aUS$309.1m
FSBW FS Bancorp
8.9x1.5%US$327.0m
CZFS Citizens Financial Services
11.5x8.7%US$315.0m
CIVB Civista Bancshares
11x7.7%US$335.7m
BCML BayCom
12.4x2.6%US$296.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCML is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCML's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BCML 12.4xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies83PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCML is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCML's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCML PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BCML is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCML forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$26.82
US$30.50
+13.7%
6.7%US$33.00US$28.00n/a3
Dec ’25US$28.99
US$29.50
+1.8%
3.7%US$30.50US$28.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$24.41
US$28.67
+17.4%
3.3%US$30.00US$28.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$23.12
US$25.67
+11.0%
3.7%US$27.00US$25.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$23.03
US$25.67
+11.4%
3.7%US$27.00US$25.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$23.32
US$25.67
+10.1%
3.7%US$27.00US$25.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$20.40
US$23.67
+16.0%
5.3%US$25.00US$22.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$20.18
US$23.67
+17.3%
5.3%US$25.00US$22.00n/a3
May ’25US$19.69
US$23.67
+20.2%
5.3%US$25.00US$22.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$20.57
US$25.50
+24.0%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$19.82
US$25.50
+28.7%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$20.60
US$25.50
+23.8%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$23.59
US$24.00
+1.7%
8.3%US$26.00US$22.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$21.54
US$23.50
+9.1%
6.4%US$25.00US$22.00US$28.992
Nov ’24US$20.09
US$23.50
+17.0%
5.2%US$25.00US$22.00US$24.413
Oct ’24US$19.21
US$23.17
+20.6%
3.7%US$24.00US$22.00US$23.123
Sep ’24US$19.63
US$23.17
+18.0%
3.7%US$24.00US$22.00US$23.033
Aug ’24US$19.82
US$23.17
+16.9%
3.7%US$24.00US$22.00US$23.323
Jul ’24US$16.68
US$21.50
+28.9%
6.8%US$23.50US$20.00US$20.403
Jun ’24US$16.02
US$21.50
+34.2%
6.8%US$23.50US$20.00US$20.183
May ’24US$16.40
US$22.00
+34.1%
6.7%US$23.50US$20.00US$19.693
Apr ’24US$17.08
US$23.67
+38.6%
4.3%US$25.00US$22.50US$20.573
Mar ’24US$20.54
US$24.00
+16.8%
2.9%US$25.00US$23.50US$19.823
Feb ’24US$20.64
US$24.00
+16.3%
2.9%US$25.00US$23.50US$20.603
Jan ’24US$18.98
US$23.83
+25.6%
3.6%US$25.00US$23.00US$23.593
Dec ’23US$19.00
US$23.83
+25.4%
3.6%US$25.00US$23.00US$21.543

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 03:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BayCom Corp is covered by 7 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen MossB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Gary TennerD.A. Davidson & Co.
null nullD.A. Davidson & Co.