BAIC Motor Corporation Limited

OTCPK:BMCL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

BAIC Motor Valuation

Is BMCL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMCL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMCL.F ($0.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMCL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMCL.F?

Key metric: As BMCL.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMCL.F. This is calculated by dividing BMCL.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMCL.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.7x
EarningsCN¥2.11b
Market CapCN¥16.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMCL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMCL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.6x
WGO Winnebago Industries
129.9x33.9%US$1.7b
THO THOR Industries
22.2x17.9%US$6.0b
F Ford Motor
12.5x19.7%US$44.1b
GM General Motors
5.6x-10.2%US$60.2b
BMCL.F BAIC Motor
7.7x8.7%US$17.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMCL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (42.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMCL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMCL.F 7.7xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMCL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMCL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMCL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BMCL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMCL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.30
US$0.26
-13.2%
15.6%US$0.32US$0.18n/a8
Nov ’25US$0.27
US$0.26
-1.0%
15.7%US$0.32US$0.18n/a8
Oct ’25US$0.25
US$0.27
+5.9%
15.6%US$0.32US$0.18n/a8
Sep ’25US$0.27
US$0.27
-1.6%
15.8%US$0.32US$0.18n/a8
Aug ’25US$0.24
US$0.28
+15.4%
18.8%US$0.36US$0.18n/a8
Jul ’25US$0.25
US$0.28
+11.6%
18.6%US$0.36US$0.18n/a8
Jun ’25US$0.28
US$0.28
-1.3%
18.1%US$0.36US$0.18n/a8
May ’25US$0.27
US$0.28
+4.1%
18.1%US$0.36US$0.18n/a8
Apr ’25US$0.27
US$0.30
+8.9%
22.1%US$0.43US$0.18n/a9
Mar ’25US$0.31
US$0.28
-7.1%
24.3%US$0.43US$0.18n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
US$0.28
0%
24.9%US$0.44US$0.18n/a8
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.28
0%
25.4%US$0.44US$0.18n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
23.5%US$0.44US$0.18n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.27
0%
28.2%US$0.42US$0.12US$0.279
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.27
0%
27.0%US$0.42US$0.12US$0.2510
Sep ’24US$0.29
US$0.27
-6.7%
25.7%US$0.43US$0.12US$0.2711
Aug ’24US$0.28
US$0.27
-2.0%
27.3%US$0.43US$0.12US$0.2410
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
25.5%US$0.42US$0.12US$0.2511
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
25.4%US$0.42US$0.12US$0.2811
May ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
26.6%US$0.43US$0.13US$0.2710
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.28
0%
26.5%US$0.43US$0.13US$0.2710
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.29
0%
36.9%US$0.54US$0.13US$0.319
Feb ’24US$0.30
US$0.29
-4.9%
36.3%US$0.55US$0.13n/a10
Jan ’24US$0.26
US$0.30
+14.5%
30.7%US$0.54US$0.23n/a9
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.29
0%
29.0%US$0.52US$0.22n/a10
Nov ’23US$0.22
US$0.28
+28.7%
26.1%US$0.49US$0.22n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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