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Toyota Motor CorporationNYSE:TM Stock Report

Market Cap US$248.9b
Share Price
US$189.95
US$239
20.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-0.3%
7D0.5%
1D
Portfolio Value
​
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Toyota Motor Corporation

NYSE:TM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$248.9b

Toyota Motor (TM) Stock Overview

Designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. More details

TM fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (10.3x) is below the US market (18.7x)

Earnings are forecast to grow 5.68% per year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow

Dividend of 3.29% is not well covered by free cash flows


TM Community Fair Values

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See what 85 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

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Toyota Motor Corporation Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Toyota Motor
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceJP¥189.95
52 Week HighJP¥248.90
52 Week LowJP¥167.18
Beta0.33
1 Month Change-0.68%
3 Month Change-21.63%
1 Year Change-0.33%
3 Year Change30.10%
5 Year Change4.13%
Change since IPO725.87%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • May 07

Toyota Vs. BYD Represents A Classic Value Vs. Growth Dilemma For Investors

Summary Toyota remains the global automotive leader, excelling with a diversified powertrain strategy and best-in-class profitability metrics. TM is rated a Buy for value-oriented investors, supported by a low P/E, robust margins, and enhanced capital returns via dividends and buybacks. BYD is a long-term growth Buy, leveraging advanced battery technology and global expansion despite near-term margin pressure and Chinese market overcapacity. Both TM and BYDDF face distinct risks: TM’s slower BEV transition and BYD’s exposure to domestic competition, geopolitical barriers, and potential regulatory constraints. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 07

Toyota Vs. BYD Represents A Classic Value Vs. Growth Dilemma For Investors

Summary Toyota remains the global automotive leader, excelling with a diversified powertrain strategy and best-in-class profitability metrics. TM is rated a Buy for value-oriented investors, supported by a low P/E, robust margins, and enhanced capital returns via dividends and buybacks. BYD is a long-term growth Buy, leveraging advanced battery technology and global expansion despite near-term margin pressure and Chinese market overcapacity. Both TM and BYDDF face distinct risks: TM’s slower BEV transition and BYD’s exposure to domestic competition, geopolitical barriers, and potential regulatory constraints. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Toyota May Benefit From A Tighter Market

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation shares have outperformed peers, down only -2.55% following Liberation Day. Despite Japan initiating the negotiation process with the U.S., the 25% automotive tariff still stands. Tariffs are impacting all automotive OEMs and may potentially lead to consumer migration to Toyota as the automaker's vehicles are seen as a budget-friendly product. Management is investing in training staff and expanding into growth areas in the U.S. and China with new battery and battery-electric vehicle production. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Toyota: Tariffs Can Limit Price Upside

Summary Toyota's price has dropped in recent days following news of higher tariffs on vehicles imported into the US. Quick estimates on the likely impact shows that while the net margin can still look healthy, the stock's prospects can be impacted by the tariff effect. This is unfortunate, given that just the financial outlook for FY25 otherwise indicates a robust upside to the stock, which is negated by possible earnings and even broader market developments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Toyota: Potential Trade-War Winner As Japan Sits On Sidelines

Summary Toyota's recent earnings report showed a 4.8% revenue increase but a 13.2% decline in operating income, leading to a 2.5% pre-market bounce on upbeat guidance. The company faces mixed headwinds and tailwinds, including potential benefits from a weaker Yen and trade war dynamics but risks from global economic and manufacturing conditions. Toyota's long-term investment in solid-state battery technology could provide significant upside despite current challenges in EV production and market competition. My outlook on TM for 2025 is neutral due to economic risks, but long-term investors may find buying opportunities in its potential growth factors. I expect to become bullish on Toyota if it emerges as a trade-conflict winner, TM's price discount grows, or if the rebound in vehicle sales continues despite headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Toyota's 'Woven City' Mobility Test Hub Points To Visionary Future, Uncertain Financial Return

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation's Woven City, an innovation hub at Mt. Fuji, aims to advance SDVs, AI, and autonomous driving despite uncertain financial returns. Toyota's historical success with unconventional projects, like the Prius and lean manufacturing, underscores its potential for future breakthroughs. Strong financials and a stable S&P rating enable Toyota to invest heavily in next-gen technologies, maintaining a leading market position. Toyota shares, with a 2.84% dividend yield, remain a Buy for long-term investors due to robust profitability and strategic innovation investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 26

Toyota: Stock Rises On ROE Target, Can't Wait For The New Hybrid 4Runner

Summary Toyota Motor stock has surged due to its ambitious 2030 goals, making it a buy despite recent tepid stock performance and currency risks. Toyota's gross margins are impressive, rivaling Tesla, and its buyback plans could significantly enhance shareholder value and earnings per share. Toyota's hybrid models and software services present a solid investment thesis, with hybrids outperforming EVs in affordability and sales growth. Using the Graham Number valuation, TM stock remains undervalued with a fair price target of $228.8, offering potential upside and a strong dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 27

Toyota: Engine Of Revenue Growth Has Finally Stalled

Summary In 2Q25, TM posted revenues of ¥11.45 trillion, representing a growth of 0.09% year-on-year and -3.32% sequentially; Since 2021, this is the first time the company's quarterly revenue declined. Despite a robust automotive market, Toyota saw poor vehicle sales due to production setbacks. TM continues to expect deteriorated production and lowered its guidance. TM is facing other challenges such as potential tariffs and a surge in labor costs that may continue eroding margins, affecting the profitability of the company. TM continues to struggle in China and is likely to continue to do so due to price wars and a shift in consumption patterns. Foreign brands have all lost market share. Despite factoring generous assumptions, valuation analysis suggests that TM's share price is fairly valued without any margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 07

Toyota Earnings: Production Halts And EV Concerns Justify Cautious Valuation

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation's fiscal Q2 was weakened by production halts and macroeconomic weakness in especially the European market, with a stable performance and outlook underneath. The weak positioning in EV manufacturing stands as a notable concern for Toyota's future growth, as the company is rather focusing on satisfying current market demand with HEVs. The stock's current valuation accounts for slow growth from Toyota going forward, being fair in my opinion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 21

Toyota Is Not Facing Reality In China

Summary Toyota is lagging behind competitors like BYD, Tesla, and Geely in BEV development, impacting their sales in China where NEVs dominate. Despite issues in China, Toyota's overall FY2024 operating income surged to 5.35 trillion yen. Investors should monitor 2Q25 results on November 6th for further insights into Toyota's performance and strategy adjustments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 01

Toyota Stays With Hybrids And Hydrogen

Summary Toyota is struggling in China, but that isn’t the only market threatened by its insistence on making cars with an internal combustion engine. The SE Asian NEV market is 80% dominated by Chinese brands, especially BYD, and it is targeting Toyota’s dominant market presence with ICE vehicles. Toyota and BMW insist that by 2028 they will have mass-produced FCEV vehicles and built a hydrogen network so that the world will abandon the BEV. Core elements of Toyota’s long-term plans conflict with what is happening as transport gets fully electrified. For this reason, I’m cautious about investment in Toyota. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

Toyota Dials Back Battery Electric (BEV) Production Plans, Strengthening Global Leadership

Summary Toyota's multi-pathway strategy, including BEVs, hybrids, and fossil fuel engines, aligns with consumer preferences and reduces emissions more effectively than pure BEV approaches. Despite a 30% share price drop due to temporary issues, Toyota's strong balance sheet, growing revenue, and consistent dividends make it a solid investment. Seeking Alpha’s Quant rating upgraded Toyota to "strong buy" due to improved valuation and attractive dividend yield, ranking it second among 29 automakers. Toyota's partnerships with Chinese automakers like BYD are crucial for maintaining its competitive edge amidst China's rapidly advancing auto industry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 08

Toyota Motors Stock: Take Advantage Of The Japan Crash

Summary Toyota Motors stock has dropped due to the Japanese carry trade and yen appreciation, presenting a buying opportunity. Toyota's strong reputation for quality and durability, along with recent earnings growth, make it a solid investment choice. The stock is currently undervalued based on various valuation metrics, making it a compelling buy for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 21

Price Drop For Toyota Stock Presents Buying Opportunity For Long-Term Investors

Summary Toyota and other Japanese automakers faced regulatory cheating allegations, but findings did not result in recalls or safety defects. Toyota's slow approach to introducing battery-electric vehicles has faced criticism, but the McKinsey report supports the strategy. Toyota plans to sell 3.5 million EVs annually by 2030, focusing on solid-state batteries for longer range and faster charging. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 11

Toyota: Durable Goods Recession Points Toward Underperformance (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Toyota's recent safety testing scandal casts a shadow on consumer and investor trust, particularly regarding its solid-state battery claims or the development timeline. Macroeconomic data regarding consumer financial stability indicates a more significant decline in durable goods sales. Japan's ongoing currency weakness may benefit Toyota, but significant FX volatility can become harmful if it creates supply chain issues. Toyota trades at a significant premium to most other car companies that may no longer be justified given its potentially declining prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 20

Toyota: A Profit-Growth Pause No Reason For Concern

Summary Japan's economic and investment conditions are favorable, with rising equity prices and increasing dividends from Japanese firms. With the country's stock market in a bullish phase and a weak yen, export companies particularly benefit. I reiterate a buy rating on Toyota Motor, given its modest valuation, though the firm forecasts a pause in EPS growth this year to focus on improving its position. I highlight key price levels to watch on the chart. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18

Toyota: Auto Giant's Calculated Shift Towards EVs

Summary Toyota’s shift towards EVs aligns with market trends and presents new opportunities. Despite the slow adoption, Toyota’s scale and reputation should help attract customers to their new EVs. Toyota has had strong revenue and EPS growth over the last few years, while the balance sheet remains solid. Toyota is a hold based on a projected annual return of 6% over the next five years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 14

Toyota: Short-Term Boost Hides Long-Term Challenges

Summary Toyota announces record-breaking financial projections due to increase in hybrid vehicle sales. Consumer preference for hybrids reflects uncertainty and hesitation towards fully electric vehicles. Tesla's expanding infrastructure and aggressive pricing strategy pose a long-term challenge to Toyota's leadership position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Toyota Drives Japanese Stocks To Fresh Highs, More Gains Likely

Summary The Nikkei 225 Index in Japan has reached all-time highs, with the stock market featuring robust momentum and earnings growth. Toyota Motor is ranked among the largest automakers globally and has recently expanded its reach into emerging markets, while its stock price has helped send the Japanese market higher. Toyota's earnings were strong in the quarter just ended, and analysts predict continued growth and an increase in dividends. I highlight key price points to monitor on the chart ahead of key interim sales data due out later this week and quarterly results in May. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

Toyota: Stock Performance, Competition And 'Electrification'

Summary Toyota Chairman Akio Toyoda doesn’t believe BEVs will exceed 30% penetration, with hybrids and hydrogen-powered cars making up the balance. Toyota sold 14,715 BEV vehicles in the US in 2023, just 0.7% of its total sales. The argument by Toyota that hybrids result in reduced emissions is contestable. Toyota is resisting electrification even as companies (e.g. Tesla, BYD) driving the BEV revolution are doing so successfully. Investment in legacy car company Toyota requires discounting what's happening in the car industry as electric vehicles rapidly take market share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

Toyota Stock Remains A Strong Buy Amid EV Sales Surge

Summary In October, I recommended Toyota as a Strong Buy and strong year-end sales results have bolstered this thesis as the auto giant executes on its bid to gain EV market share. Toyota EV sales volumes surged 30% YOY in the U.S. in 2023, accounting for ⅓ of units sold. Toyota is #1 among Seeking Alpha’s Quant-rated automaker stocks, securing high grades in every key category, including growth, valuation, and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 11

Toyota: Solid State Batteries Will Create A New Electric Vehicle Era

Summary Toyota's stock has risen by around 36% this year, driven by a rebound in revenue and operating margins and an improved technology outlook. The company's new battery technology could give it a substantial competitive edge in the EV market, potentially making EVs a no-brainer against legacy vehicles. Toyota's valuation is lower than its historical range, but caution is advised due to competitive and macroeconomic risks. Growing auto loan delinquencies in the US and slow global sales point toward potential vehicle sales recession risks from 2024 to 2025. While immediate risks are high, TM appears undervalued if we project trends into the late 2020s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Toyota Raises Wages In Effort To Keep UAW Out, Maintain Manufacturing Efficiency

Summary UAW aims to organize non-union automakers in the US, including Toyota, following the ratification of new contracts with Detroit automakers. Toyota raises wages and improves benefits for hourly workers to maintain competitiveness with Detroit automakers and resist unionization. Toyota executives take legal measures to prevent UAW from gaining a foothold in its plants and compromising its Toyota Production System. Maintaining Buy on TM for long-term portfolios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

TMUS AutoUS Market
7D0.5%3.0%1.5%
1Y-0.3%25.4%28.6%

Return vs Industry: TM underperformed the US Auto industry which returned 23% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TM underperformed the US Market which returned 28.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TM's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TM volatility
TM Average Weekly Movement4.1%
Auto Industry Average Movement9.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: TM has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: TM's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1933390,927Kenta Konglobal.toyota/en

Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers subcompact and compact cars; mini-vehicles; mid-size, luxury, sports, and specialty cars; recreational and sport-utility vehicles; pickup trucks; minivans; trucks; and buses.

Toyota Motor Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Toyota Motor's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TM fundamental statistics
Market capUS$248.94b
Earnings (TTM)US$24.16b
Revenue (TTM)US$318.24b
10.3x
P/E Ratio
0.8x
P/S Ratio

Is TM overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TM income statement (TTM)
RevenueJP¥50.68t
Cost of RevenueJP¥39.12t
Gross ProfitJP¥7.57t
Other ExpensesJP¥3.72t
EarningsJP¥3.85t

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)295.25
Gross Margin14.93%
Net Profit Margin7.59%
Debt/Equity Ratio105.3%

How did TM perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.3%
Current Dividend Yield
32%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/29 06:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Toyota Motor Corporation is covered by 40 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kei NihonyanagiBarclays
Masahiro AkitaBernstein
James KanBNP Paribas