Stock Analysis

Is Standard Motor Products (NYSE:SMP) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:SMP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Standard Motor Products, Inc. (NYSE:SMP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Standard Motor Products

How Much Debt Does Standard Motor Products Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Standard Motor Products had US$128.4m of debt, an increase on US$10.2m, over one year. However, it also had US$21.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$106.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SMP Debt to Equity History March 19th 2022

How Healthy Is Standard Motor Products' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Standard Motor Products had liabilities of US$476.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$109.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$21.8m in cash and US$180.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$383.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Standard Motor Products has a market capitalization of US$1.01b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Standard Motor Products has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.68. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 65.4 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Standard Motor Products grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Standard Motor Products can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Standard Motor Products recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Standard Motor Products's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Standard Motor Products takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Standard Motor Products that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.