Stock Analysis

LiveWire Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:LVWR) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 25% Slump

NYSE:LVWR
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The LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 59% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States' Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may still consider LiveWire Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for LiveWire Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LVWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2024

How LiveWire Group Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LiveWire Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for LiveWire Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LiveWire Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.7%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 73% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why LiveWire Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What Does LiveWire Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

LiveWire Group's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that LiveWire Group maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for LiveWire Group (2 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.