Lear Corporation

NYSE:LEA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

Lear Valuation

Is LEA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LEA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LEA ($94.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($190.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LEA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LEA?

Key metric: As LEA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LEA. This is calculated by dividing LEA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LEA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.4x
EarningsUS$545.80m
Market CapUS$5.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LEA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LEA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
MOD Modine Manufacturing
38.2x26.4%US$6.2b
GNTX Gentex
15.5x8.1%US$6.6b
DORM Dorman Products
21.6x10.6%US$4.0b
ALV Autoliv
11.5x13.2%US$7.2b
LEA Lear
9.4x17.8%US$5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LEA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SEVC.F Sono Group
0.2xn/aUS$6.52m
CDTI CDTi Advanced Materials
1.9xn/aUS$1.98m
No more companies available in this PE range
LEA 9.4xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LEA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LEA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LEA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$94.78
US$127.92
+35.0%
16.2%US$174.00US$99.00n/a12
Dec ’25US$97.84
US$131.80
+34.7%
16.3%US$174.00US$101.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$96.72
US$134.10
+38.7%
17.6%US$174.00US$101.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$108.12
US$147.64
+36.6%
13.7%US$185.00US$114.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$116.65
US$148.10
+27.0%
12.6%US$185.00US$127.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$119.70
US$149.17
+24.6%
13.1%US$185.00US$127.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$114.29
US$160.45
+40.4%
13.9%US$205.00US$128.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$125.35
US$162.81
+29.9%
13.0%US$205.00US$128.00n/a14
May ’25US$124.37
US$162.60
+30.7%
13.8%US$210.00US$128.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$144.37
US$163.89
+13.5%
13.5%US$210.00US$134.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$136.42
US$164.56
+20.6%
13.1%US$210.00US$134.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$136.43
US$167.09
+22.5%
14.6%US$220.00US$130.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$141.21
US$167.23
+18.4%
13.9%US$220.00US$130.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$136.39
US$168.29
+23.4%
13.5%US$220.00US$136.00US$97.8415
Nov ’24US$130.25
US$168.23
+29.2%
13.0%US$220.00US$140.00US$96.7215
Oct ’24US$134.20
US$170.29
+26.9%
12.5%US$230.00US$140.00US$108.1215
Sep ’24US$145.98
US$170.26
+16.6%
13.2%US$230.00US$140.00US$116.6514
Aug ’24US$154.44
US$167.05
+8.2%
14.0%US$235.00US$140.00US$119.7014
Jul ’24US$143.55
US$157.69
+9.9%
9.4%US$182.00US$140.00US$114.2914
Jun ’24US$125.69
US$153.62
+22.2%
9.6%US$173.00US$133.00US$125.3514
May ’24US$126.90
US$152.50
+20.2%
9.4%US$173.00US$133.00US$124.3714
Apr ’24US$139.49
US$152.42
+9.3%
8.8%US$173.00US$135.00US$144.3715
Mar ’24US$141.36
US$153.02
+8.2%
9.8%US$180.00US$133.00US$136.4215
Feb ’24US$149.46
US$153.52
+2.7%
9.5%US$180.00US$133.00US$136.4314
Jan ’24US$124.02
US$152.15
+22.7%
10.5%US$185.00US$133.00US$141.2115
Dec ’23US$140.79
US$152.82
+8.5%
10.2%US$185.00US$133.00US$136.3915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lear Corporation is covered by 40 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
David LeikerBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research