BorgWarner Valuation

Is BWA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BWA ($33.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($64.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BWA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BWA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BWA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.6x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BWA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BWA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
LEA Lear
13.3x20.2%US$7.6b
GNTX Gentex
18.8x8.1%US$7.9b
ALV Autoliv
19.6x17.8%US$9.5b
MOD Modine Manufacturing
20x7.4%US$4.5b
BWA BorgWarner
12.1x10.8%US$7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BWA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BWA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BWA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BWA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.09
US$39.67
+19.9%
13.8%US$52.00US$33.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$35.04
US$41.06
+17.2%
22.5%US$72.00US$33.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$31.15
US$40.94
+31.4%
23.1%US$72.00US$33.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$34.48
US$44.23
+28.3%
18.3%US$72.00US$36.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$35.85
US$45.40
+26.6%
18.5%US$72.00US$36.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$33.95
US$45.62
+34.4%
18.8%US$72.00US$36.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$37.11
US$52.23
+40.8%
14.1%US$72.00US$44.00n/a17
Oct ’24US$40.37
US$53.07
+31.5%
14.1%US$72.00US$44.00n/a17
Sep ’24US$41.29
US$53.14
+28.7%
14.5%US$72.00US$44.00n/a16
Aug ’24US$46.47
US$54.02
+16.2%
12.8%US$72.00US$46.00n/a16
Jul ’24US$48.91
US$56.12
+14.7%
14.3%US$81.00US$42.00n/a16
Jun ’24US$45.27
US$55.81
+23.3%
15.1%US$81.00US$42.00n/a16
May ’24US$47.81
US$56.19
+17.5%
13.8%US$80.00US$42.00n/a16
Apr ’24US$49.11
US$55.88
+13.8%
13.7%US$80.00US$42.00US$35.0417
Mar ’24US$50.65
US$55.82
+10.2%
13.4%US$79.00US$42.00US$31.1517
Feb ’24US$48.28
US$50.51
+4.6%
17.5%US$78.00US$36.10US$34.4816
Jan ’24US$40.25
US$49.48
+22.9%
23.4%US$78.00US$36.10US$35.8517
Dec ’23US$42.66
US$48.71
+14.2%
23.9%US$78.00US$36.10US$33.9517
Nov ’23US$37.31
US$47.42
+27.1%
25.6%US$78.00US$35.00US$37.1117
Oct ’23US$31.40
US$48.59
+54.8%
24.2%US$76.00US$32.00US$40.3717
Sep ’23US$37.37
US$49.27
+31.8%
24.0%US$78.00US$32.00US$41.2917
Aug ’23US$38.65
US$47.20
+22.1%
25.0%US$78.00US$30.00US$46.4718
Jul ’23US$34.07
US$47.33
+38.9%
23.8%US$78.00US$30.00US$48.9120
Jun ’23US$40.12
US$47.89
+19.4%
23.5%US$78.00US$30.00US$45.2719
May ’23US$36.83
US$49.68
+34.9%
22.6%US$78.00US$32.00US$47.8119
Apr ’23US$39.36
US$51.56
+31.0%
17.2%US$73.00US$32.00US$49.1118

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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