Autoliv Valuation

Is ALV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALV ($96.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($168.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
GNTX Gentex
16.9x8.7%US$6.9b
BWA BorgWarner
9.6x8.8%US$7.4b
LEA Lear
11.4x21.5%US$6.2b
MOD Modine Manufacturing
31.1x21.4%US$5.1b
ALV Autoliv
12.3x14.3%US$7.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$96.03
US$121.09
+26.1%
9.3%US$141.00US$103.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$102.47
US$121.20
+18.3%
9.3%US$141.00US$103.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$99.76
US$121.20
+21.5%
9.3%US$141.00US$103.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$106.99
US$132.38
+23.7%
8.2%US$155.00US$116.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$127.57
US$134.19
+5.2%
7.1%US$155.00US$120.00n/a16
May ’25US$120.43
US$130.74
+8.6%
9.0%US$155.00US$102.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$120.57
US$124.22
+3.0%
9.1%US$150.00US$102.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$116.73
US$118.78
+1.8%
10.4%US$150.00US$102.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$111.00
US$117.37
+5.7%
10.6%US$150.00US$102.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$110.19
US$111.14
+0.9%
13.1%US$150.00US$91.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$105.04
US$111.56
+6.2%
13.0%US$150.00US$91.00n/a19
Nov ’24US$92.92
US$110.49
+18.9%
13.2%US$150.00US$91.00n/a20
Oct ’24US$96.48
US$106.19
+10.1%
10.4%US$127.00US$86.00n/a20
Sep ’24US$98.70
US$106.04
+7.4%
10.2%US$127.00US$86.00US$102.4720
Aug ’24US$101.38
US$105.79
+4.3%
10.4%US$127.00US$86.00US$99.7620
Jul ’24US$85.04
US$100.99
+18.8%
9.3%US$127.00US$86.00US$106.9920
Jun ’24US$81.93
US$100.42
+22.6%
10.8%US$130.00US$86.00US$127.5719
May ’24US$85.55
US$100.63
+17.6%
10.7%US$130.00US$86.00US$120.4319
Apr ’24US$93.36
US$100.79
+8.0%
11.0%US$130.00US$86.00US$120.5719
Mar ’24US$94.05
US$100.79
+7.2%
11.0%US$130.00US$86.00US$116.7319
Feb ’24US$91.57
US$97.94
+7.0%
10.2%US$115.00US$80.00US$111.0017
Jan ’24US$76.58
US$89.72
+17.2%
10.8%US$116.00US$73.00US$110.1918
Dec ’23US$86.88
US$91.33
+5.1%
11.9%US$116.00US$73.00US$105.0418
Nov ’23US$80.97
US$88.68
+9.5%
12.4%US$113.00US$73.00US$92.9219
Oct ’23US$66.63
US$91.05
+36.7%
11.3%US$113.00US$73.00US$96.4819
Sep ’23US$76.79
US$91.89
+19.7%
10.2%US$113.00US$79.00US$98.7019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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