Autoliv, Inc.

NYSE:ALV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.4b

Autoliv Valuation

Is ALV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALV ($92.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($168.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALV?

Key metric: As ALV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALV. This is calculated by dividing ALV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.8x
EarningsUS$630.00m
Market CapUS$7.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
GNTX Gentex
15.2x8.1%US$6.6b
MOD Modine Manufacturing
37.8x26.4%US$6.2b
BWA BorgWarner
7.5x4.8%US$7.0b
LEA Lear
9.3x17.8%US$5.2b
ALV Autoliv
11.6x13.2%US$7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SEVC.F Sono Group
0.1xn/aUS$5.98m
CDTI CDTi Advanced Materials
1.7xn/aUS$1.90m
No more companies available in this PE range
ALV 11.8xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$92.98
US$115.74
+24.5%
9.3%US$140.00US$97.00n/a18
Dec ’25US$99.12
US$116.46
+17.5%
9.0%US$140.00US$101.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$95.17
US$116.96
+22.9%
9.4%US$140.00US$101.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$93.72
US$119.93
+28.0%
9.1%US$140.00US$102.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$102.47
US$121.20
+18.3%
9.3%US$141.00US$103.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$99.76
US$121.20
+21.5%
9.3%US$141.00US$103.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$106.99
US$132.38
+23.7%
8.2%US$155.00US$116.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$127.57
US$134.19
+5.2%
7.1%US$155.00US$120.00n/a16
May ’25US$120.43
US$130.74
+8.6%
9.0%US$155.00US$102.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$120.57
US$124.22
+3.0%
9.1%US$150.00US$102.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$116.73
US$118.78
+1.8%
10.4%US$150.00US$102.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$111.00
US$117.37
+5.7%
10.6%US$150.00US$102.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$110.19
US$111.14
+0.9%
13.1%US$150.00US$91.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$105.04
US$111.56
+6.2%
13.0%US$150.00US$91.00US$99.1219
Nov ’24US$92.92
US$110.49
+18.9%
13.2%US$150.00US$91.00US$95.1720
Oct ’24US$96.48
US$106.19
+10.1%
10.4%US$127.00US$86.00US$93.7220
Sep ’24US$98.70
US$106.04
+7.4%
10.2%US$127.00US$86.00US$102.4720
Aug ’24US$101.38
US$105.79
+4.3%
10.4%US$127.00US$86.00US$99.7620
Jul ’24US$85.04
US$100.99
+18.8%
9.3%US$127.00US$86.00US$106.9920
Jun ’24US$81.93
US$100.42
+22.6%
10.8%US$130.00US$86.00US$127.5719
May ’24US$85.55
US$100.63
+17.6%
10.7%US$130.00US$86.00US$120.4319
Apr ’24US$93.36
US$100.79
+8.0%
11.0%US$130.00US$86.00US$120.5719
Mar ’24US$94.05
US$100.79
+7.2%
11.0%US$130.00US$86.00US$116.7319
Feb ’24US$91.57
US$97.94
+7.0%
10.2%US$115.00US$80.00US$111.0017
Jan ’24US$76.58
US$89.72
+17.2%
10.8%US$116.00US$73.00US$110.1918
Dec ’23US$86.88
US$91.33
+5.1%
11.9%US$116.00US$73.00US$105.0418

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Autoliv, Inc. is covered by 64 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Olof CederholmABG Sundal Collier
Luke JunkBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research