Dana Incorporated

NYSE:DAN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

Dana Valuation

Is DAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DAN ($9.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($11.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DAN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DAN?

Key metric: As DAN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DAN. This is calculated by dividing DAN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DAN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesUS$10.44b
Market CapUS$1.29b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DAN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
FOXF Fox Factory Holding
1x4.9%US$1.4b
THRM Gentherm
0.9x5.4%US$1.4b
XPEL XPEL
2.9x13.2%US$1.3b
ADNT Adient
0.1x0.9%US$1.7b
DAN Dana
0.1x2.1%US$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DAN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x9.7%
DAN Dana
 0.1x2.1%US$1.29b
LEA Lear
0.2x2.4%US$5.49b
GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber
0.2x0.4%US$2.89b
DAN 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies15PS01.22.43.64.86+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x28.1%
DAN Dana
 0.1x58.1%US$1.29b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DAN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DAN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.55
US$10.14
+6.2%
21.4%US$14.00US$7.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$7.91
US$10.43
+31.8%
26.1%US$16.00US$7.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$10.56
US$13.29
+25.8%
18.7%US$17.00US$9.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$11.29
US$14.00
+24.0%
12.1%US$17.00US$12.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$12.12
US$14.14
+16.7%
11.0%US$17.00US$13.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$11.84
US$14.29
+20.7%
12.2%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$14.06
US$14.88
+5.8%
12.8%US$18.00US$13.00n/a8
May ’25US$13.26
US$14.88
+12.2%
12.8%US$18.00US$13.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$12.64
US$15.00
+18.7%
10.5%US$18.00US$13.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$12.74
US$15.50
+21.7%
13.3%US$19.00US$13.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$14.01
US$15.88
+13.3%
13.2%US$19.00US$14.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$14.61
US$16.25
+11.2%
15.0%US$21.00US$14.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$13.69
US$16.00
+16.9%
16.5%US$21.00US$13.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$11.27
US$16.13
+43.1%
15.6%US$21.00US$14.00US$7.918
Oct ’24US$14.67
US$19.00
+29.5%
10.2%US$22.00US$17.00US$10.568
Sep ’24US$16.44
US$19.29
+17.3%
9.9%US$22.00US$17.00US$11.297
Aug ’24US$19.16
US$19.71
+2.9%
8.5%US$22.00US$17.00US$12.127
Jul ’24US$17.00
US$16.71
-1.7%
7.6%US$19.00US$15.00US$11.847
Jun ’24US$12.92
US$16.71
+29.4%
7.6%US$19.00US$15.00US$14.067
May ’24US$14.22
US$16.71
+17.5%
7.6%US$19.00US$15.00US$13.267
Apr ’24US$15.05
US$16.43
+9.2%
9.1%US$18.00US$14.00US$12.647
Mar ’24US$15.89
US$16.43
+3.4%
9.1%US$18.00US$14.00US$12.747
Feb ’24US$18.79
US$17.33
-7.8%
9.2%US$20.00US$16.00US$14.016
Jan ’24US$15.13
US$16.33
+8.0%
10.4%US$19.00US$14.00US$14.616
Dec ’23US$17.51
US$16.33
-6.7%
10.4%US$19.00US$14.00US$13.696
Nov ’23US$16.09
US$16.33
+1.5%
10.4%US$19.00US$14.00US$11.276

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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