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Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) Following 27% Share Price Slump
Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 62% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Lotus Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Auto industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Lotus Technology
How Lotus Technology Has Been Performing
Lotus Technology has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Lotus Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lotus Technology?
Lotus Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 74% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Lotus Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Lotus Technology's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Lotus Technology currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Lotus Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:LOT
Lotus Technology
Engages in the design, development, and sale of battery electric lifestyle vehicles worldwide.
High growth potential and slightly overvalued.
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