Lotus Technology Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Lotus Technology is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 60.6% and 49% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 59.9% per annum.
Key information
60.6%
Earnings growth rate
59.92%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 37.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 49.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 13 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 02
LOT: Global Hybrid SUV Rollout And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Lotus Technology, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E assumption. Together, these changes temper earlier expectations while keeping the fair value estimate at $2.40.Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
Lotus Technology Needs More Progress To Get People Onboard
Summary Lotus Technology is trading at a fraction of what it went for three years ago, but the stock has been moving higher lately. The Q4 FY2025 report assisted with the rally because it featured major improvements to the bottom line, although much remains to be done. If LOT is to sustain a rally, it needs to increase car sales, but there are several reasons why this will not be easy to do. LOT’s ability to sustain the recent rally is suspect, which is why I am neutral on LOT with a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 13
LOT: Higher Margin Outlook And New Hybrid SUV Launch Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their $ price target for Lotus Technology, citing updated assumptions that reflect higher revenue growth of 104.74%, a profit margin of 7.28% and a lower future P/E of 5.91x as key supports for the new valuation. What's in the News Lotus Technology officially launched its new For Me hyper SUV, also known as Eletre X in Europe, in Beijing on March 29, 2026, with deliveries in China scheduled to start on March 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
New Narrative • Apr 08
Hybrid Expansion And One Lotus Integration May Struggle Before Ultimately Supporting Long-Term Progress
Catalysts About Lotus Technology Lotus Technology develops and sells premium performance vehicles, including battery electric and hybrid models, with a focus on luxury sports and lifestyle segments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 27
LOT: Higher Margin Outlook And New Hybrid SUV Will Support Upside
Analysts have revised their price target on Lotus Technology to $2.40, down from $3.00. This adjustment reflects updated assumptions related to a higher discount rate, revised revenue growth expectations, a higher projected profit margin, and a different forward P/E multiple.
New Narrative • Mar 24
Hybrid Expansion And One Lotus Integration Will Support A Stronger Long Term Upside Potential
Catalysts About Lotus Technology Lotus Technology designs and sells premium performance sports cars and electrified lifestyle vehicles across China, Europe, North America and other global markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analysis Article • Nov 06
Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) Following 27% Share Price Slump
Lotus Technology Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOT ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
As you might know, Lotus Technology Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOT ) last week released its latest annual, and things did not turn...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Lotus Technology: Built For Speed, Stalled By Strategy
Summary Lotus Technology faces ongoing demand challenges due to competitive pressure, undifferentiated models, and shifting consumer preferences in the global EV market. The recent CFO change is questioned; a Chief Technology Officer may be more appropriate to address product-related issues. We maintain a $1/share target price on LOT, implying further downside risk, given the lofty 30K 2026E delivery guidance and competitive market conditions. Prefer BYD and Xiaomi for their strong technology, vertically integrated models, and better price-to-value propositions in the competitive Chinese EV market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 04
It's Down 30% But Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Lotus Technology Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOT ) shares are down a considerable 30% in the...
New Narrative • Mar 22
New Technologies And Global Expansion Could Improve Future Prospects
Expansion into ADAS technology and new markets is expected to significantly enhance revenue and profitability margins.Seeking Alpha • Mar 18
Lotus Technology: Management Shake-Up And Competitive Pressures Signal Further Downside
Summary Lotus Technology's management changes increase the risk of a guidance cut, with new leaders lacking operational transformation and EV technology expertise. Xiaomi's SU7 Ultra outperforms LOT's Emeya, diminishing LOT's value proposition in the competitive EV market. We lower our target price to $1/share, reflecting a conservative +33% revenue CAGR and 1x EV/Revenue multiple. Rising competition and internal changes may negatively impact LOT's sales targets, posing further downside risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 16
The Price Is Right For Lotus Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:LOT) Even After Diving 27%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Lotus Technology Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOT ) share price has dived 27% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Feb 06
Lotus Technology: Struggling To Shift Gears In India's Competitive Market
Summary Lotus Cars faces significant challenges in core markets, with macroeconomic weaknesses and intense competition impacting its pricing and margins. Entry into India is unlikely to drive substantial growth due to a small luxury market, strong incumbent brands, and limited service infrastructure. Management's 2026 volume target appears overly ambitious, with expected volume growth likely to fall short, leading to potential downward revisions. Valuation at 1x EV/Revenue suggests a $2/share price target, implying a 25% downside from current levels due to ongoing challenges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 17
Lotus Technology Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOT) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 26% Slump
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Lotus Technology Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOT ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the...Seeking Alpha • Dec 09
Lotus Technology: A Premium Brand Facing Macro Chaos And An Identity Problem
Summary We are bearish on Lotus Technology due to macroeconomic challenges, including soft consumer demand in China and competitive pressures in Europe and the US. Lotus faces an identity crisis under Geely's ownership, with new models deviating from its traditional lightweight performance vehicles, failing to attract both old and new customers. The company has downgraded its volume expectations and is unlikely to meet its 2024 and 2026 targets, leading to potential further stock de-rating. Valuation at 2.3x 2025E EV/Revenue is demanding; a fair value is $2/share based on 1x EV/Revenue, implying a ~50% downside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 30
Lotus Technology Q1 Earnings: Stock Is Overvalued, There Are Better Options
Summary I delve deeper into Lotus Technology, a new EV company in the space under the famed Lotus Group. I analyze the company's current financials and dig deeper into its value proposition and potential challenges. Finally, I use a simple valuation model to justify why LOT stock is a "Hold" at its current valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,877 | 119 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,370 | -311 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 728 | -437 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2025 | 519 | -464 | -413 | -334 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 627 | -818 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 745 | -959 | -591 | -531 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 844 | -1,030 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 924 | -1,102 | -906 | -849 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,014 | -901 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 947 | -872 | -702 | -552 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 833 | -853 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 679 | -727 | -601 | -387 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 324 | -882 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 137 | -866 | -724 | -522 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 27 | -787 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 10 | -725 | -485 | -351 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5 | -434 | -454 | -346 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4 | -111 | -161 | -127 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: LOT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: LOT is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: LOT's revenue (49% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LOT's revenue (49% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LOT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/12 22:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Lotus Technology Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Xin Yu | Deutsche Bank |
| Xin Yu | Deutsche Bank |
| Brian Lantier | Zacks Small-Cap Research |