Li Auto Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.5% and 19.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17% in 3 years.

Key information

23.5%

Earnings growth rate

11.2%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth15.1%
Revenue growth rate19.8%
Future return on equity17.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated02 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Li Auto: From Setback To Comeback (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 29

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Aug 22
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Expecting Significant Wealth Creation From Li Stock In The Long Term

Aug 19

Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 23% Undervaluation?

Jul 29
Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 23% Undervaluation?

Li Auto: Weakening Financials Encourage Caution

Jul 02

Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Jun 26
Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Li Auto Lost The Price War - More Pain Ahead

Jun 18

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

Jun 11
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

Li Auto: Deep Value For EV Investors

May 28

Li Auto's Strategic Pivot: From Setbacks To Solutions

May 16

Li Auto: My Pick For The EV Market Will Likely Survive A Price War

May 08

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Apr 28
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Li Auto: The Stock Is Dirt Cheap

Apr 22

Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?

Apr 12
Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?

Buy Li Auto's Dip - Electrification Is Here To Stay

Mar 31

Returns At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Are On The Way Up

Mar 28
Returns At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Are On The Way Up

Li Auto Charges Ahead In Fourth Quarter As Slowdown Looms

Feb 27

Why We Are Still Not Convinced With Li Auto

Feb 20

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Feb 19
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Li Auto: Value Investment Buried In The Chaos

Feb 07

Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

Feb 04
Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Jan 19
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$35.27?

Dec 20
Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$35.27?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Dec 02
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Forecasts

Aug 09
Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Forecasts

Benign Growth For Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Underpins Its Share Price

Apr 17
Benign Growth For Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Underpins Its Share Price

Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 45% Undervaluation?

Dec 28
Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 45% Undervaluation?

Li Auto September deliveries up 62.5% Y/Y, 10.6% M/M

Oct 01

Li Auto stock gains on early launch of highly-anticipated Li L8 SUV

Sep 22

Li Auto At Risk Of Market Cannibalization

Sep 16

Li Auto August deliveries down 52% Y/Y, second lowest delivery in this year

Sep 01

Some Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Aug 20
Some Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Li Auto Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 12

NaaS Technology partners with Li Auto for providing new smart charging services

Jul 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:LI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026242,18018,11421,28036,94236
12/31/2025197,87012,60915,70029,83140
12/31/2024145,3317,0697,64717,22630
6/30/2024133,72410,17621,52228,029N/A
3/31/2024130,69811,36733,06439,571N/A
12/31/2023123,85111,70444,18650,694N/A
9/30/202399,7696,30332,80638,325N/A
6/30/202374,4321,83920,19223,310N/A
3/31/202354,512-1,0729,53113,327N/A
12/31/202245,287-2,0122,2527,380N/A
9/30/202238,257-1,9741,1746,292N/A
6/30/202236,690-3554,2978,970N/A
3/31/202232,997284,8289,248N/A
12/31/202127,010-3214,8968,340N/A
9/30/202120,536-5094,3166,325N/A
6/30/202115,272-8093,9015,085N/A
3/31/202112,180-9183,2204,129N/A
12/31/20209,457-8062,4653,140N/A
9/30/20205,594-1,982168867N/A
3/31/20201,136-3,034-2,319-1,463N/A
12/31/2019284-3,261-2,747-1,794N/A
9/30/2019N/A-2,702-2,743-1,680N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LI's forecast earnings growth (23.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: LI's earnings (23.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LI's revenue (19.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LI's revenue (19.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17%).


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