Stock Analysis

Kerry TJ Logistics (TPE:2608) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

TWSE:2608
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited (TPE:2608) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Kerry TJ Logistics's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kerry TJ Logistics had NT$4.36b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$5.24b, one year before. However, it also had NT$1.42b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$2.95b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2608 Debt to Equity History February 11th 2021

A Look At Kerry TJ Logistics' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kerry TJ Logistics had liabilities of NT$3.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$7.63b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$1.42b in cash and NT$2.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$7.35b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Kerry TJ Logistics has a market capitalization of NT$19.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Kerry TJ Logistics has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Kerry TJ Logistics grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kerry TJ Logistics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Kerry TJ Logistics produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Kerry TJ Logistics's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Kerry TJ Logistics is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Kerry TJ Logistics that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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