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EverFocus Electronics Corporation (TWSE:5484) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 32% Price Plummet
EverFocus Electronics Corporation (TWSE:5484) shares have retraced a considerable 32% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 209% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking EverFocus Electronics is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 15x, considering almost half the companies in Taiwan's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for EverFocus Electronics
What Does EverFocus Electronics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at EverFocus Electronics over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on EverFocus Electronics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is EverFocus Electronics' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like EverFocus Electronics' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.2%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 6.8% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that EverFocus Electronics' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, EverFocus Electronics' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of EverFocus Electronics revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for EverFocus Electronics that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on EverFocus Electronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if EverFocus Electronics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:5484
EverFocus Electronics
Engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and service of CCTV surveillance systems, CCD cameras, and digital image processing equipment worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet minimal.