Stock Analysis

Despite shrinking by NT$1.5b in the past week, Castles Technology (TWSE:5258) shareholders are still up 385% over 5 years

It's been a soft week for Castles Technology Co., Ltd. (TWSE:5258) shares, which are down 11%. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. In fact, during that period, the share price climbed 356%. Impressive! Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

While the stock has fallen 11% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Castles Technology

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years of share price growth, Castles Technology moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Castles Technology share price has gained 246% in three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 63% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 51% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
TWSE:5258 Earnings Per Share Growth October 30th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Castles Technology has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Castles Technology's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Castles Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was 385%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Castles Technology shareholders are down 13% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 45%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 37% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before forming an opinion on Castles Technology you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

But note: Castles Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TWSE:5258

Castles Technology

Engages in the purchase, sale, and lease of personal finance application products, electronic financial transaction terminals, electronic cash registers, and peripherals in Taiwan, Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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