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Biostar Microtech International Corp.'s (TWSE:2399) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
The Biostar Microtech International Corp. (TWSE:2399) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 32%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Taiwan's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Biostar Microtech International as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Biostar Microtech International
How Biostar Microtech International Has Been Performing
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Biostar Microtech International's revenue has been unimpressive. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Biostar Microtech International, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Biostar Microtech International's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Biostar Microtech International would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 9.8% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 33% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Biostar Microtech International's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Biostar Microtech International's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Biostar Microtech International currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Biostar Microtech International that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Biostar Microtech International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Biostar Microtech International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:2399
Biostar Microtech International
Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of various networking solutions in Taiwan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.