Stock Analysis

Here's Why Wistron NeWeb (TPE:6285) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TWSE:6285
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Wistron NeWeb Corporation (TPE:6285) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Wistron NeWeb

How Much Debt Does Wistron NeWeb Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Wistron NeWeb had NT$5.12b of debt, up from NT$3.16b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has NT$4.82b in cash leading to net debt of about NT$301.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:6285 Debt to Equity History February 16th 2021

How Strong Is Wistron NeWeb's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wistron NeWeb had liabilities of NT$18.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$3.21b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$4.82b and NT$14.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$1.96b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Wistron NeWeb has a market capitalization of NT$30.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Wistron NeWeb has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Wistron NeWeb has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.11. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. But the bad news is that Wistron NeWeb has seen its EBIT plunge 18% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wistron NeWeb can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Wistron NeWeb recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Wistron NeWeb's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But truth be told its EBIT growth rate had us nibbling our nails. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Wistron NeWeb's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Wistron NeWeb .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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