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Is This A Sign of Things To Come At GeoVision (TPE:3356)?
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. On that note, looking into GeoVision (TPE:3356), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for GeoVision:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.012 = NT$22m ÷ (NT$2.5b - NT$760m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, GeoVision has an ROCE of 1.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electronic industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for GeoVision
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for GeoVision's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating GeoVision's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of GeoVision's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 22%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect GeoVision to turn into a multi-bagger.
What We Can Learn From GeoVision's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that GeoVision is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 52% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing GeoVision we've found 4 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:3356
GeoVision
Operates as a digital and networked video surveillance company worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.