The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Merry Electronics Co., Ltd. (TPE:2439) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Merry Electronics
How Much Debt Does Merry Electronics Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Merry Electronics had NT$6.28b of debt, up from NT$2.76b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has NT$4.16b in cash leading to net debt of about NT$2.12b.
How Healthy Is Merry Electronics' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Merry Electronics had liabilities of NT$19.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$2.22b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$4.16b as well as receivables valued at NT$14.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$3.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Merry Electronics has a market capitalization of NT$27.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Merry Electronics's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 851 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Merry Electronics's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 49% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Merry Electronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Merry Electronics actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
Neither Merry Electronics's ability to grow its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Merry Electronics is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Merry Electronics (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TWSE:2439
Merry Electronics
Engages in the manufacture, processing, repair, and sale of electric appliances, audiovisual electric products, telecommunication equipment and apparatus, computers and computing peripheral equipment, restrained telecom radio frequency equipment, medical appliances, and electronic parts and components in the United States, Taiwan, Europe, China, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.