Stock Analysis

Here's Why Compeq Manufacturing (TPE:2313) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TWSE:2313
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Compeq Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TPE:2313) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Compeq Manufacturing

What Is Compeq Manufacturing's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Compeq Manufacturing had NT$14.6b in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$12.1b, its net debt is less, at about NT$2.48b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2313 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2021

A Look At Compeq Manufacturing's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Compeq Manufacturing had liabilities of NT$19.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$18.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$12.1b in cash and NT$14.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$10.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Compeq Manufacturing shares are worth a total of NT$51.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Compeq Manufacturing's net debt is only 0.23 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 33.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that Compeq Manufacturing has increased its EBIT by 7.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Compeq Manufacturing can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Compeq Manufacturing's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Compeq Manufacturing's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Compeq Manufacturing can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Compeq Manufacturing that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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