Stock Analysis

Allied Circuit (GTSM:8155) Has Rewarded Shareholders With An Exceptional 802% Total Return On Their Investment

TPEX:8155
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Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. Just think about the savvy investors who held Allied Circuit Co., Ltd. (GTSM:8155) shares for the last five years, while they gained 577%. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. And in the last month, the share price has gained -2.0%. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 10% in the last thirty days.

We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!

See our latest analysis for Allied Circuit

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over half a decade, Allied Circuit managed to grow its earnings per share at 39% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 47% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
GTSM:8155 Earnings Per Share Growth December 3rd 2020

We know that Allied Circuit has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Allied Circuit, it has a TSR of 802% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Allied Circuit has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 33% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 55% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Allied Circuit is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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