Stock Analysis

Is Coretronic (GTSM:5371) A Risky Investment?

TPEX:5371
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Coretronic Corporation (GTSM:5371) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Coretronic

How Much Debt Does Coretronic Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Coretronic had NT$6.76b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$9.86b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds NT$17.0b in cash, so it actually has NT$10.3b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:5371 Debt to Equity History February 5th 2021

A Look At Coretronic's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Coretronic had liabilities of NT$21.6b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$2.17b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$17.0b and NT$12.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has NT$6.21b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Coretronic's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Coretronic boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact Coretronic's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 42% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coretronic can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Coretronic has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Coretronic actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Coretronic has NT$10.3b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 165% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in NT$1.6b. So is Coretronic's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Coretronic (including 1 which is significant) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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