Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Universal Microwave Technology's (GTSM:3491) Shares A Year Ago You Would Be Down 21%

TPEX:3491
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Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. Unfortunately the Universal Microwave Technology, Inc. (GTSM:3491) share price slid 21% over twelve months. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 36%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 0.9% in that time. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 7.8%.

Check out our latest analysis for Universal Microwave Technology

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Unfortunately Universal Microwave Technology reported an EPS drop of 54% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 21% the share price fall. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
GTSM:3491 Earnings Per Share Growth January 27th 2021

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Universal Microwave Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Universal Microwave Technology the TSR over the last year was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 36% in the last year, Universal Microwave Technology shareholders lost 18% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 9%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Universal Microwave Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Universal Microwave Technology better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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