Stock Analysis

Is Yao Sheng Electronic (GTSM:3207) A Risky Investment?

TPEX:3207
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Yao Sheng Electronic Co., Ltd. (GTSM:3207) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Yao Sheng Electronic

What Is Yao Sheng Electronic's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Yao Sheng Electronic had NT$118.9m of debt, an increase on NT$67.3m, over one year. However, it does have NT$89.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$29.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3207 Debt to Equity History February 19th 2021

How Strong Is Yao Sheng Electronic's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yao Sheng Electronic had liabilities of NT$329.7m due within a year, and liabilities of NT$35.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$89.3m and NT$198.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$76.8m.

Of course, Yao Sheng Electronic has a market capitalization of NT$418.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Yao Sheng Electronic has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.97 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. We also note that Yao Sheng Electronic improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive NT$2.0m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Yao Sheng Electronic's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Yao Sheng Electronic burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Yao Sheng Electronic's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Yao Sheng Electronic stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Yao Sheng Electronic that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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