Stock Analysis

Is Formosa Sumco Technology (TWSE:3532) A Risky Investment?

TWSE:3532
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Formosa Sumco Technology Corporation (TWSE:3532) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Formosa Sumco Technology

What Is Formosa Sumco Technology's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Formosa Sumco Technology had NT$14.6b of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have NT$3.06b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$11.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:3532 Debt to Equity History September 9th 2024

How Healthy Is Formosa Sumco Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Formosa Sumco Technology had liabilities of NT$12.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$14.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$3.06b in cash and NT$2.11b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$20.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Formosa Sumco Technology has a market capitalization of NT$50.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Formosa Sumco Technology's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.3 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 323 times, makes us even more comfortable. Importantly, Formosa Sumco Technology's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 43% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Formosa Sumco Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Formosa Sumco Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Formosa Sumco Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Formosa Sumco Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Formosa Sumco Technology (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.