Stock Analysis

We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's (TWSE:3413) Profit

TWSE:3413
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The latest earnings release from Foxsemicon Integrated Technology Inc. (TWSE:3413 ) disappointed investors. Our analysis found several concerning factors in the earnings report beyond the strong statutory profit number.

View our latest analysis for Foxsemicon Integrated Technology

earnings-and-revenue-history
TWSE:3413 Earnings and Revenue History November 13th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Foxsemicon Integrated Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of NT$786m, which is significantly less than its profit of NT$2.33b. Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. Having said that, there is more to consider. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Foxsemicon Integrated Technology increased the number of shares on issue by 5.7% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

As you can see above, Foxsemicon Integrated Technology has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 66% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 41% over the same period. And at a glance the 22% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 17% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Foxsemicon Integrated Technology shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by NT$174m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Foxsemicon Integrated Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's weak accrual ratio suggested its statutory earnings have been inflated by the unusual items. Meanwhile, the new shares issued mean that shareholders now own less of the company, unless they tipped in more cash themselves. Considering all this we'd argue Foxsemicon Integrated Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Foxsemicon Integrated Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Foxsemicon Integrated Technology (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.