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Optimistic Investors Push Spirox Corporation (TWSE:3055) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Spirox Corporation (TWSE:3055) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 121% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Taiwan's Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.9x, you may consider Spirox as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Spirox
How Spirox Has Been Performing
Spirox hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Spirox will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Spirox's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 41%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 53% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 23% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Spirox's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Spirox have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've concluded that Spirox currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Spirox that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Spirox's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:3055
Spirox
Engages in the provision of integrated solutions to the semiconductor and FPD industries in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with concerning outlook.