Stock Analysis

Is Winbond Electronics (TPE:2344) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:2344
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Winbond Electronics Corporation (TPE:2344) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Winbond Electronics's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Winbond Electronics had debt of NT$27.4b, up from NT$24.8b in one year. However, it also had NT$20.8b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$6.57b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2344 Debt to Equity History April 26th 2021

How Strong Is Winbond Electronics' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Winbond Electronics had liabilities of NT$25.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$30.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$20.8b and NT$11.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$23.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Winbond Electronics has a market capitalization of NT$141.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Winbond Electronics's net debt is only 0.62 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 74.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Winbond Electronics grew its EBIT by 30% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Winbond Electronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Winbond Electronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Winbond Electronics's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Winbond Electronics can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Winbond Electronics (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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