There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Opto Tech (TPE:2340), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Opto Tech, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.075 = NT$634m ÷ (NT$11b - NT$2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Opto Tech has an ROCE of 7.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Semiconductor industry average of 10%.
Check out our latest analysis for Opto Tech
In the above chart we have measured Opto Tech's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Opto Tech here for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Over the past five years, Opto Tech's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Opto Tech doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
Our Take On Opto Tech's ROCE
In summary, Opto Tech isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 152% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Opto Tech we've found 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About TWSE:2340
Taiwan-Asia Semiconductor
Engages in the manufacture and sale of semiconductor components in Taiwan and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.