Stock Analysis

Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's (TWSE:2616) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

TWSE:2616
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Investors weren't pleased with the recent soft earnings report from Shan-Loong Transportation Co.,Ltd (TWSE:2616). We did some digging and believe that things are better than they seem due to some encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Shan-Loong TransportationLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
TWSE:2616 Earnings and Revenue History March 22nd 2024

Zooming In On Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Shan-Loong TransportationLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NT$709m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NT$65.3m. Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shan-Loong TransportationLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Surprisingly, given Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by NT$13m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shan-Loong TransportationLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Shan-Loong TransportationLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shan-Loong TransportationLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these makes us a bit uncomfortable.

Our examination of Shan-Loong TransportationLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shan-Loong TransportationLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.