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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd.'s (TWSE:2207) Price
Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd.'s (TWSE:2207) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Specialty Retail industry in Taiwan have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Hotai MotorLtd
What Does Hotai MotorLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Hotai MotorLtd has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Hotai MotorLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Hotai MotorLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hotai MotorLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.6% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 14% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.6% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hotai MotorLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It comes as a surprise to see Hotai MotorLtd trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hotai MotorLtd (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hotai MotorLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:2207
Hotai MotorLtd
Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, exports and imports, trades, and sells vehicles, automobile air conditioners, and related parts in Taiwan and Mainland China.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.