Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hung Sheng Construction Ltd. (TPE:2534) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Hung Sheng Construction's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Hung Sheng Construction had NT$15.1b of debt, an increase on NT$12.1b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$672.7m, its net debt is less, at about NT$14.4b.
A Look At Hung Sheng Construction's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hung Sheng Construction had liabilities of NT$16.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$4.38b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$672.7m and NT$441.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$20.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the NT$9.29b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Hung Sheng Construction would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 18.3, it's fair to say Hung Sheng Construction does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Importantly, Hung Sheng Construction's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 52% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hung Sheng Construction will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hung Sheng Construction produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
To be frank both Hung Sheng Construction's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Hung Sheng Construction has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hung Sheng Construction (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TWSE:2534
Hung Sheng Construction
Hung Sheng Construction Co., Ltd. constructs, sells, and leases residential and commercial buildings.
Slight with imperfect balance sheet.