Stock Analysis

Is Chong Hong Construction (TWSE:5534) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:5534
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Chong Hong Construction Co., Ltd. (TWSE:5534) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Chong Hong Construction

How Much Debt Does Chong Hong Construction Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Chong Hong Construction had NT$17.9b of debt in March 2024, down from NT$19.0b, one year before. On the flip side, it has NT$1.45b in cash leading to net debt of about NT$16.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:5534 Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Chong Hong Construction's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Chong Hong Construction had liabilities of NT$25.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$81.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$1.45b and NT$430.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$23.4b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NT$33.5b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Chong Hong Construction's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

As it happens Chong Hong Construction has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.3 but very strong interest coverage of 173. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. One way Chong Hong Construction could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 15%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chong Hong Construction's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Chong Hong Construction actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Chong Hong Construction's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Chong Hong Construction's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Chong Hong Construction (including 1 which is significant) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.