Stock Analysis

Some May Be Optimistic About Swancor Holding's (TWSE:3708) Earnings

TWSE:3708
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Swancor Holding Co., LTD.'s (TWSE:3708) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

Check out our latest analysis for Swancor Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
TWSE:3708 Earnings and Revenue History August 15th 2024

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Swancor Holding expanded the number of shares on issue by 8.6% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Swancor Holding's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Swancor Holding's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Swancor Holding has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 65% in that time. But EPS was only up 53% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 52% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately for shareholders, though, the earnings per share result was even worse, declining 53%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

If Swancor Holding's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the NT$682m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Swancor Holding took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Swancor Holding's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Swancor Holding took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Swancor Holding's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for Swancor Holding you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.