What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. Having said that, after a brief look, Asia Cement (TWSE:1102) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Asia Cement, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.025 = NT$6.2b ÷ (NT$329b - NT$78b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Asia Cement has an ROCE of 2.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Basic Materials industry average of 7.7%.
Check out our latest analysis for Asia Cement
In the above chart we have measured Asia Cement's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Asia Cement .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Asia Cement's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 9.8% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Asia Cement becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line On Asia Cement's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 40% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Asia Cement, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Asia Cement may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:1102
Asia Cement
Engages in the manufacturing and selling cement, clinker, ready-mixed concrete, and cement related products in China, Taiwan, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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