If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. Having said that, after a brief look, Asia Cement (TWSE:1102) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Asia Cement:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.027 = NT$7.0b ÷ (NT$345b - NT$89b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, Asia Cement has an ROCE of 2.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Basic Materials industry average of 8.0%.
See our latest analysis for Asia Cement
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Asia Cement compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Asia Cement for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Asia Cement Tell Us?
In terms of Asia Cement's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 8.6% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Asia Cement to turn into a multi-bagger.
What We Can Learn From Asia Cement's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 39% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Asia Cement (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:1102
Asia Cement
Engages in the manufacturing and selling cement, clinker, ready-mixed concrete, and cement related products in China, Taiwan, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.