Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hotel Holiday Garden (TPE:2702) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hotel Holiday Garden
What Is Hotel Holiday Garden's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Hotel Holiday Garden had NT$4.74b of debt at December 2020, down from NT$5.64b a year prior. However, it also had NT$1.86b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$2.88b.
How Healthy Is Hotel Holiday Garden's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hotel Holiday Garden had liabilities of NT$2.57b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$3.50b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$1.86b in cash and NT$95.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$4.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the NT$1.91b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Hotel Holiday Garden would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hotel Holiday Garden will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Hotel Holiday Garden had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 51%, to NT$742m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Hotel Holiday Garden's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping NT$199m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through NT$240m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hotel Holiday Garden (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TWSE:2702
Hotel Holiday Garden
Operates hotels. The company operates Holiday Garden Hotel, an international tourist hotel with 270 guest rooms, lobby, banquet hall, swimming pool, gym, and other facilities; and Holiday Garden Hotel Kaohsiung Taroko Park in Kaohsiung.
Adequate balance sheet and overvalued.