Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Kanpai Co., Ltd (GTSM:1269)?

TPEX:1269
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Kanpai's (GTSM:1269) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.5% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Kanpai's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Kanpai

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kanpai is:

3.2% = NT$27m ÷ NT$850m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each NT$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made NT$0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Kanpai's Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE

When you first look at it, Kanpai's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 7.1%. Kanpai was still able to see a decent net income growth of 6.7% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Kanpai's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 0.8%.

past-earnings-growth
GTSM:1269 Past Earnings Growth January 17th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Kanpai is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Kanpai Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 54% (or a retention ratio of 46%) for Kanpai suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Besides, Kanpai has been paying dividends over a period of four years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Kanpai has some positive attributes. That is, quite an impressive growth in earnings. However, the low profit retention means that the company's earnings growth could have been higher, had it been reinvesting a higher portion of its profits. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Kanpai's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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