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An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's (GTSM:1259) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from An-Shin Food Services Co.,Ltd. (GTSM:1259) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.
See our latest analysis for An-Shin Food ServicesLtd
Examining Cashflow Against An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to March 2021, An-Shin Food ServicesLtd had an accrual ratio of -1.14. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of NT$735m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NT$176.7m. An-Shin Food ServicesLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of An-Shin Food ServicesLtd.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth NT$23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If An-Shin Food ServicesLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's Profit Performance
In conclusion, An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think that An-Shin Food ServicesLtd's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. If you'd like to know more about An-Shin Food ServicesLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for An-Shin Food ServicesLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
Our examination of An-Shin Food ServicesLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TPEX:1259
An-Shin Food ServicesLtd
Operates a chain of fast food restaurants under the MOS BURGER name in Taiwan and Mainland China.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.