Stock Analysis
Merida Industry's (TWSE:9914) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
Merida Industry Co., Ltd. (TWSE:9914) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to NT$6.00 on the 6th of September. This means that the annual payment is 2.8% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.
Check out our latest analysis for Merida Industry
Merida Industry's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 116% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 53%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 156.7% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 47% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of NT$5.24 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of NT$6.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 1.4% per annum over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. In the last five years, Merida Industry's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 6.7% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Merida Industry that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:9914
Merida Industry
Manufactures and sells bicycles and components in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, and Europe.