Stock Analysis

We Like The Quality Of Taiwan Paiho's (TPE:9938) Earnings

TWSE:9938
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Taiwan Paiho Limited's (TPE:9938) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

View our latest analysis for Taiwan Paiho

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSEC:9938 Earnings and Revenue History April 2nd 2021

Examining Cashflow Against Taiwan Paiho's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Taiwan Paiho has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to December 2020. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of NT$4.0b, well over the NT$1.55b it reported in profit. Given that Taiwan Paiho had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of NT$4.0b would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Taiwan Paiho's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Taiwan Paiho has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Taiwan Paiho's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Taiwan Paiho.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Taiwan Paiho's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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