Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) Co., Limited (TPE:5906) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)'s Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) had debt of NT$247.2m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$411.7m over a year. However, it does have NT$128.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$118.9m.
How Healthy Is Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)'s Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) had liabilities of NT$608.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$104.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$128.3m as well as receivables valued at NT$153.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$431.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) is worth NT$1.50b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.2 and interest cover of 6.0 times, it seems to us that Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Sadly, Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)'s EBIT actually dropped 5.9% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
The good news is that Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)'s demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Tainan Enterprise (Cayman) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:5906
Tainan Enterprise (Cayman)
Designs, develops, produces, and sells clothing products in China.
Adequate balance sheet slight.