Stock Analysis

What Would Shareholders Who Purchased De Licacy Industrial's(TPE:1464) Stock Five Years Ago Be Earning on Their Investment Today?

TWSE:1464
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For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term De Licacy Industrial Co., Ltd. (TPE:1464) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 39% over a half decade. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 26% over the last twelve months. The good news is that the stock is up 5.5% in the last week.

View our latest analysis for De Licacy Industrial

Given that De Licacy Industrial only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

Over five years, De Licacy Industrial grew its revenue at 8.9% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. Shareholders have seen the share price fall at 7% per year, for five years: a poor performance. Those who bought back then clearly believed in stronger growth - and maybe even profits. There is always a big risk of losing money yourself when you buy shares in a company that loses money.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSEC:1464 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 26th 2020

This free interactive report on De Licacy Industrial's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, De Licacy Industrial's TSR for the last 5 years was -9.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in De Licacy Industrial had a tough year, with a total loss of 21% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 22%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - De Licacy Industrial has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

We will like De Licacy Industrial better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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