The most recent earnings report from Hsin Ba Ba Corporation (TWSE:9906) was disappointing for shareholders. However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
Check out our latest analysis for Hsin Ba Ba
Examining Cashflow Against Hsin Ba Ba's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to September 2024, Hsin Ba Ba had an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of NT$1.4b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NT$302.4m. Hsin Ba Ba's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hsin Ba Ba.
Our Take On Hsin Ba Ba's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Hsin Ba Ba has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Hsin Ba Ba's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hsin Ba Ba at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Hsin Ba Ba.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hsin Ba Ba's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:9906
Hsin Ba Ba
Together with its subsidiary, engages in the development, sale, and rental of public housing and commercial buildings in Taiwan.
Excellent balance sheet slight.